Robert McNally

Founder & President

Robert McNally is based in Washington, DC and has over 25 years of government and market experience as an international energy consultant, senior White House policy official, and hedge fund strategist. His expertise spans government, economic, security, and environmental sectors. He is the author of the acclaimed book Crude Volatility: The History and the Future of Boom-Bust Oil Prices (Columbia University Press, 2017).

Robert has testified before Congress on energy markets and national security, published on energy in Foreign Affairs (co-authored with Michael Levi), and has been interviewed by CNN, The Economist, NPR, Financial Times, Washington Post, New York Times, PBS’ Great Decisions in Foreign Policy series, Bloomberg News, and other leading journals and programs. He is a Member of the National Petroleum Council and is a non-resident fellow at the Columbia University Center on Global Energy Policy. From 2001 to 2003, he served as the top international and domestic energy advisor on the White House staff, holding the posts of Special Assistant to the President on the National Economic Council and, in 2003, Senior Director for International Energy on the National Security Council. He started his professional career as an oil market analyst and for 12 years analyzed energy markets, macroeconomic policy, and geopolitics for portfolio managers at Tudor Investment Corporation. Robert earned his B.A./B.S. in Political Science and International Relations from American University and his M.A. in International Economics and Foreign Policy from Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS).

Scott Modell

Managing Director and Head of Geopolitical Risk Service

Scott Modell is based in Washington, DC and is a highly decorated Central Intelligence Agency officer who served in the Middle East, Central Asia, and Latin America. He is a non-resident fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies and senior advisor to U.S. Special Operations Command.

Scott is a leading expert on Iran and the broader Middle East. As a former Central Intelligence Agency officer, he served for 13 years in the Directorate of Operations, with five tours conducting operations in Latin America, Western Europe, and the Middle East. He participated in post 9-11 operations in Afghanistan, serving on the battlefields in the southern and southeastern regions of the country as a member of paramilitary counter terrorism teams composed of CIA officers and local Afghan forces. At the Center for Strategic and International Studies, he focuses on security issues related to Iran and the Middle East; he also served as an advisor to U.S. Special Operations Command on Counter Threat Finance operations. Scott earned his B.A. in International Relations from UCLA and his M.A. in National Security Studies from Georgetown University’s School of Foreign Service.

Fareed Mohamedi

Managing Director and Chief Economist

Fareed Mohamedi is based in Washington, DC and has several decades’ experience as an energy economist in national oil companies, consultancies, a rating agency, and a government ministry. His expertise includes energy markets, geopolitics, corporate strategy, investment environments, and macroeconomic risks.

Fareed came to Rapidan Energy Group after serving two and a half years at Saudi Aramco’s Corporate Planning Department in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia. He is an expert on oil and gas markets, the geopolitics of energy, investment environments and macroeconomic risks in oil and gas producing countries, and the strategies of national oil companies. Prior to joining Saudi Aramco, Fareed worked with Statoil in London in its Global Strategy and Business Development department. From 1990 to 2011, he was a partner with Washington-based PFC Energy, where he ran the oil market and country risk practice. Fareed earned his B.A. in Economics from Western Michigan University and his M.A. in Arab Studies and International Development from Georgetown University’s School of Foreign Service.

Neil Quilliam

Director, Strategic Advisory Service and Europe Practice Head

Dr. Neil Quilliam is based in London and has deep experience advising governments and multinational corporations on political risk. He has worked extensively throughout the Middle East.

Prior to joining Rapidan Energy Group, Dr. Quilliam served as Senior Energy Advisor to the British Foreign & Commonwealth Office (FCO) in London, advising the FCO and other Whitehall ministries, including the Cabinet Office, Department of Energy & Climate Change, Ministry of Defence, Her Majesty’s Treasury, and UK Trade & Industry. Prior to working with the UK government, Dr. Quilliam led Control Risks’ Middle East and North Africa practice and advised governments and multinationals, including IOCs, on political risk. He has taught at the United Nations University in Amman, Jordan; Jordan Institute of Diplomacy, Amman; King Abdul Aziz University in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia; and the United Nations Relief and Works Agency schools in Bethlehem. He has published several books on Syria and contributed many chapters in edited volumes on Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and the Gulf Cooperation Council. He also serves as Acting Head of Middle East & North Africa Programme at Chatham House. Dr. Quilliam holds a PhD in International Relations from Durham University (UK) and wrote his thesis on ‘Syria and the New World Order.’

Eric Otto

Managing Director and Head of Research

Eric Otto is based in New York and is responsible for coverage of the upstream sector as well as managing oil market and energy policy research. He has extensive experience in equity research, M&A, corporate development and government policy.

Prior to joining Rapidan Energy Group, Eric was a Research Analyst for CLSA in New York, where he covered upstream energy companies and generated investment recommendations for institutional investors. Previously, he worked for Hunt Oil Company and affiliates in Dallas, where he was a Director and focused on M&A and corporate development in the energy and infrastructure sectors. Earlier, Eric worked in Iraq as a Policy Advisor for the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Office of International Affairs, where he focused on the oil sector, and in the West Wing of the White House as Special Assistant to the Director of the National Economic Council. He received his B.A. from Davidson College and an M.B.A. from Columbia Business School.

Leslie Palti-Guzman

Director of Global Gas

Leslie Palti-Guzman is based in New York and leads Rapidan Energy Group’s Global Gas Service. She is a non-resident fellow at the Center on Global Energy Policy at Columbia University.

Leslie has ten years’ experience as a global gas market research analyst, energy market journalist, and political risk advisor. Prior to joining Rapidan Energy Group, she was a senior analyst at Eurasia Group on the Global Energy & Natural Resources team. Earlier, she was the senior natural gas and LNG correspondent at Energy Intelligence Group in New York. Leslie is a frequently featured speaker at gas conferences and appears on television and in leading print media as an expert commentator. She earned her B.A. in Political Science from Sciences Po Paris and has two Master’s degrees in International Affairs from Sciences Po Paris and the Fletcher School at Tufts University.

Glenn Schwartz

Director of Energy Policy

Glenn Schwartz is based in Washington, DC and oversees Rapidan Energy Group’s Energy Policy Service. He is a Clean Air Act attorney and an expert on the energy sector implications of environmental regulation, law and policy.

Prior to joining Rapidan Energy Group, Glenn spent 6 years at PIRA Energy Group, where he served as the chief legal, political and regulatory risk analyst in the emissions and clean energy group. In his capacity as the group’s Director of Legal Analysis, he was tasked with tracking and interpreting major regulations and legislation impacting emissions and energy markets on the state, federal and international levels. In addition, Glenn served as the firm’s hydraulic fracturing policy expert, tracking litigation, regulation, and legislation on the federal, state, and local levels and analyzing impacts on production volumes and costs. Previously, as a practicing attorney, Glenn advised clients and stakeholders on a wide variety of environmental and regulatory issues involving the Clean Air Act, Clean Water Act, and relevant state statutes. Glenn holds a B.A. in Economics from the University of Pennsylvania and a J.D. from Temple University’s Beasley School of Law.

Campbell Palfrey

Vice President, Director and Managing Editor

Campbell Palfrey is based in Washington, DC and oversees review and publication of all Rapidan Energy Group reports. He brings extensive experience monitoring and analyzing supply/demand fundamentals, geopolitical risks, and policy developments that impact oil prices and investment decisions in the energy sector.

Prior to joining Rapidan Energy Group in 2009, Campbell was the Project Director for an international market research firm, where his team focused on identifying and analyzing consumer trends in the technology and telecommunication sectors. He earned his B.A. in Comparative Literature from Haverford College and his M.A. in International Economics and Energy, Resources & Environment at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS).

Iwona Biernat

Senior Advisor, Strategic Advisory Service and Europe Practice

Iwona Biernat is based in London and is a member of Rapidan Energy Group’s Strategic Advisory Service & Europe Practice. She has extensive experience in energy finance, having worked in oil & gas equity research at Morgan Stanley and energy project finance at ING and Crédit Agricole CIB.

Iwona covered upstream and integrated energy companies at Morgan Stanley and generated investment ideas for the world’s largest asset managers and hedge funds. Prior to Morgan Stanley, she worked at ING and Crédit Agricole CIB, advising on multi-billion dollar energy projects in emerging and developed markets. Iwona started her career at Cube Infrastructure Fund in Paris. She earned her B.A. in Political Science from Sciences Po in Paris and her dual Master’s degree in Management from Sciences Po and HEC School of Management.

Allyson Cutright

Senior Analyst

Allyson Cutright is based in Washington, DC and is Rapidan Energy Group’s lead barrel counter. She covers the Group’s near and medium-term global oil supply and demand balances, oil price forecasts, and Agency Balance Comparison reports.

Prior to joining Rapidan Energy Group, Allyson was a Legislative Aide covering banking and tax policy in the office of Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) and worked in government affairs as a liaison for a non-profit healthcare organization. Allyson earned her B.A. in Classics, with a minor in International Studies, from the University of Kentucky, where she also completed post-baccalaureate coursework in advanced Mathematics.

Fernando Ferreira

Senior Analyst

Fernando Ferreira is based in Washington, DC and covers global oil markets, with a focus on geopolitical supply risks. He oversees Rapidan Energy Group’s Barrels-at-Risk reporting, which analyzes and forecasts disrupted and threatened oil production on a country-level basis.

Fernando was instrumental in helping Rapidan Energy Group Founder Robert McNally research and write his 2017 book Crude Volatilty: The History and Future of Boom-Bust Oil Prices (Columbia University Press, 2017). Prior to joining the Rapidan Energy Group, Fernando worked as a research intern with the Energy and National Security Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, where he focused on oil markets and geopolitics. Originally from Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Fernando earned his B.S. in Economics and his Masters in International Commerce & Policy from George Mason University.

Mariah Deters

Senior Analyst

Mariah Deters is based in Washington, DC and oversees Rapidan Energy Group’s country-level oil supply/demand balances and proprietary refinery database. She also leads the Group’s coverage of the downstream oil sector, providing analysis on global refining developments and petroleum product markets.

Prior to joining Rapidan Energy Group, Mariah focused on Chinese energy sector reforms and the evolving role of water in the energy industry while working in the Energy and National Security Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington. She graduated from the University of Pennsylvania with a B.A. in International Relations and East Asian Languages and Civilizations; she earned a minor in Statistics from the Wharton School and studied Mandarin at Peking University in Beijing, China.

Ana Rasmussen

Analyst

Ana Rasmussen is based in Washington, DC and covers global LNG markets and the impact of geopolitical events and policy and technical developments on global gas markets.

Previously, Ana worked at a small financial advisory firm in Tbilisi, Georgia specializing in the Caspian oil and gas industry. Ana earned her B.A. in International Studies from American University and her Masters in International Relations and Economics from Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS), with a specialization in Energy, Resources, and Environment and a Minor in European and Eurasian studies.

Gregory Chumakov

Analyst

Gregory Chumakov is based in Washington, DC and covers global crude oil and product markets. Prior to joining Rapidan Energy Group, Gregory worked as a grain analyst at Vitol Group in Hamburg, Germany, and as a trading assistant in Singapore with an agricultural trading firm, Ameropa Asia Pte Ltd. He also worked at AXA Financial Advisors while completing his undergraduate degree.

Gregory earned his B.A. in Economics from George Washington University, with a Minor in Business Administration.

Leo Luo

Analyst

Leo Luo is based in Washington, DC and covers the downstream global oil sector. Formerly, he was a research intern in the Energy and National Security Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington. His research focused on China’s and India’s national energy policies and clean energy initiatives.

Mr. Luo graduated from Georgetown University’s Walsh School of Foreign Service, with a B.S. in Science, Technology and International Affairs and a minor in French, and has studied abroad at the Institut d’Etudes Politiques (Sciences Po) in Paris.

Christopher Meyerhoff

Chief Financial Officer

Christopher Meyerhoff is based in Washington, DC and has several decades’ experience strategizing, planning, and managing financial operations for top-tier energy consultancies. Prior to joining Rapidan Energy Group, Christopher served as CFO & Partner at Washington-based PFC Energy, where he managed the firm’s operations in 7 countries, including strategy and planning, financial reporting and compliance, client and legal matters, IT, IP, and human resources.

Previously, Chris was the Finance Director for Petroleum Intelligence Weekly, publisher of several leading industry publications, and an analyst providing short-term oil market forecasts and economic analysis. Chris also served as Research Economist in the U.S. Senate (Joint Economic Committee) and as an Economist for Wharton Econometric Forecasting Associates. He holds a B.A. in Economics from Georgetown University and an M.B.A. (Finance & Investments) from The George Washington University.

Sabine Leffler

Operations Manager

Sabine Leffler is based in Washington, DC and brings extensive experience as an office manager for Tudor Investment Corporation - a leading global Hedge Fund - and as a program coordinator for the Friedrich Ebert Foundation.

Sabine managed Tudor Investment Corporation’s Washington office for ten years. Prior to that, she was a Program Coordinator for the Friedrich Ebert Foundation in Washington, DC, where she organized visitor programs for German officials with American think tanks and non-profit organizations. Sabine received her B.A. in Linguistics from the Université de Provence, Aix-en-Provence, France and her Masters in economic translation from the Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz, Germersheim, Germany.

Kevin McNally

Director of Business Development

Kevin McNally is based in Connecticut and oversees Rapidan Energy Group’s client relations and business development efforts.

He has extensive experience managing client relationships gained in his previous position covering commercial and residential clients for Fidelity National Financial. Earlier, Kevin worked for Stewart Title Guaranty, a Houston-based provider of national real estate services. He earned his B.A. from Salve Regina University and J.D. from Quinnipiac University School of Law in Connecticut. He is a licensed attorney.